Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket
18c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 18 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. The most recent whale trade on Polymarket was a $17,697 buy of No at 80c, 1 day ago.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7c3d...5c6b | Buy | No | 80c | $17,697 | not yet ranked | 1 day ago |
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