Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

28c

Yes price

Kalshi

No live price

Yes price

Cross-venue gap

Not comparable yet

Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.

Summary

Polymarket currently prices Yes at 28 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, one trade of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $88,965 buy of Yes at 80c.

Whale activity on this market

WalletSideOutcomePriceNotionalWallet recordWhen
Wallet #96716BuyYes80c$88,965not yet ranked8 hours ago
Wallet #31903BuyYes80c$34,994not yet ranked1 day ago
Wallet #60472BuyYes84c$16,745not yet ranked13 days ago
Wallet #53151BuyYes55c$11,02050% on 4 resolved16 days ago
Wallet #95587BuyYes58c$11,598not yet ranked28 days ago

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