Novig is a CFTC-regulated sports exchange where every order is a bid to buy one outcome. Like Kalshi, its public data carries no user identities, so these signals are inferred from market behavior.
Implied chance is the midpoint of the Novig book. The odds are what a taker pays right now: on Novig a bid on one side is liquidity on the other, so the price to take a team is 1 minus the best bid on its opponent.
Moneyline 0
Spread -26.5
Spread -22.5
Spread -27.5
Spread -13.5
Moneyline 0
Spread -11.5
Spread -16.5
Spread -1.5
Spread -3.5
Spread -2.5
Team total 27.5
Total 1.5
Spread -13.5
Spread -11.5
Spread -9.5
Spread -7.5
Moneyline 0
Spread 1.5
Spread -2.5
Spread -1.5
Total 68.5
Total 60.5
Total 59.5
Total 58.5
Moneyline 0
Spread 14.5
Spread -7.5
Spread -9.5
Team total 27.5
Spread -1.5
Spread 14.5
Moneyline 0
Spread 1.5
Moneyline 0
Moneyline 0
Spread -3.5
Spread -8.5
Spread -10.5
Spread -14.5
Spread -15.5
Spread -9.5
Total 46.5
Total 47.5
Spread 6.5
Spread 5.5
Spread 4.5
Total 21.5
Total 19.5
Total 18.5
Total 20.5
Total 24.5
Spread 4.5
Spread 2.5
Spread 3.5
Total 22.5
Total 20.5
Total 19.5
Total 21.5
Spread -1.5
Spread -3.5
Spread -2.5
Total 22.5
Total 20.5
Total 21.5
Spread 1.5
Spread -0.5
Spread -1.5
Spread 0.5
Total 22.5
Total 20.5
Total 21.5
Moneyline 0
Spread 1.5
Spread -0.5
Spread -1.5
Spread 0.5
Total 22.5
Total 20.5
Total 21.5
Total 42.5
Spread 9.5
Spread 2.5
Team total 2.5
Total 9.5
Spread 2.5
Team total 3.5
Team total 2.5
Total 2.5
Spread 2.5
Team total 3.5
Team total 3.5
Spread 2.5
Spread 2.5
Team total 2.5
Team total 3.5
Team total 3.5
Moneyline 0
Spread 4.5
Spread 2.5
Spread 0.5
Spread -1.5
Spread 1.5
Total 22.5
Total 21.5
Total 23.5
Spread -3.5
Spread -4.5
Total 20.5
Total 21.5
Spread 17.5
Spread -15.5
Team total 33.5
Total 39.5
Sweeps are bursts of money taking several price levels at once, imbalance is far more resting money behind one side of the book, and steam is a fast move in a team's implied chance with real trading behind it. Strength describes how urgent and sizable the move was, never how likely the outcome is.
TB @ DAL t47.5Moderate
Novig steam on TB @ DAL t47.5. Over 47.5 moved +29.0 points in 15 minutes on $1,332 traded
Over 47.5's implied chance on Novig (TB @ DAL t47.5) moved up from 24% to 53% in 15 minutes on $1,332 of trading.
1 minute ago
DAL -3.5Strong
Novig steam on DAL -3.5. TB +3.5 moved +18.0 points in 15 minutes on $4,236 traded
TB +3.5's implied chance on Novig (DAL -3.5) moved up from 39% to 57% in 15 minutes on $4,236 of trading.
1 minute ago
CWSModerate
Novig steam on CWS. CWS moved +8.0 points in 15 minutes on $29,706 traded
CWS' implied chance on Novig (CWS) moved up from 35% to 43% in 15 minutes on $29,706 of trading.
1 minute ago
DAL -3.5Notable
Novig sweep on DAL -3.5. $2,985 backed TB +3.5 across 2 price levels (56% to 56%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed TB +3.5 on Novig (DAL -3.5). A buyer took $2,985 of contracts fast rather than waiting, holding TB +3.5's implied chance near 56%.
1 minute ago
DAL -10.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on DAL -10.5. $6,632 resting behind TB +10.5 vs $1,093 on the other side (6.1x)
The Novig order book on DAL -10.5 is stacked toward TB +10.5, with 6.1x more resting money backing that side.
3 minutes ago
DAL -9.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on DAL -9.5. $4,409 resting behind TB +9.5 vs $1,207 on the other side (3.7x)
The Novig order book on DAL -9.5 is stacked toward TB +9.5, with 3.7x more resting money backing that side.
3 minutes ago
DALStrong
Novig steam on DAL. TB moved +15.5 points in 15 minutes on $44,923 traded
TB's implied chance on Novig (DAL) moved up from 21% to 37% in 15 minutes on $44,923 of trading.
3 minutes ago
DALModerate
Novig sweep on DAL. $15,636 backed DAL across 3 price levels (79% to 73%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed DAL on Novig (DAL). A buyer took $15,636 of contracts fast rather than waiting, while DAL's price slipped from 79% to 73%.
4 minutes ago
LIB -27.5Moderate
Novig book imbalance on LIB -27.5. $6,945 resting behind LIB -27.5 vs $739 on the other side (9.4x)
The Novig order book on LIB -27.5 is stacked toward LIB -27.5, with 9.4x more resting money backing that side.
5 minutes ago
DAL -8.5Moderate
Novig steam on DAL -8.5. DAL -8.5 moved +14.0 points in 15 minutes on $3,075 traded
DAL -8.5's implied chance on Novig (DAL -8.5) moved up from 37% to 51% in 15 minutes on $3,075 of trading.
5 minutes ago
WKU -11.5Moderate
Novig book imbalance on WKU -11.5. $8,792 resting behind WKU -11.5 vs $33 on the other side (268.7x)
The Novig order book on WKU -11.5 is stacked toward WKU -11.5, with 268.7x more resting money backing that side.
6 minutes ago
CWSModerate
Novig sweep on CWS. $2,535 backed CLE across 5 price levels (60% to 61%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed CLE on Novig (CWS). A buyer took $2,535 of contracts fast rather than waiting, pushing CLE's implied chance up from 60% to 61%.
7 minutes ago
CWSStrong
Novig steam on CWS. CLE moved +30.0 points in 15 minutes on $89,938 traded
CLE's implied chance on Novig (CWS) moved up from 31% to 61% in 15 minutes on $89,938 of trading.
7 minutes ago
STLNotable
Novig steam on STL. SJ moved +5.0 points in 15 minutes on $7,238 traded
SJ's implied chance on Novig (STL) moved up from 43% to 48% in 15 minutes on $7,238 of trading.
11 minutes ago
UTSANotable
Novig book imbalance on UTSA. $6,161 resting behind UTSA vs $1,914 on the other side (3.2x)
The Novig order book on UTSA is stacked toward UTSA, with 3.2x more resting money backing that side.
11 minutes ago
WPG +2.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on WPG +2.5. $4,644 resting behind WPG +2.5 vs $817 on the other side (5.7x)
The Novig order book on WPG +2.5 is stacked toward WPG +2.5, with 5.7x more resting money backing that side.
13 minutes ago
WKUNotable
Novig steam on WKU. WKU moved +5.4 points in 15 minutes on $4,964 traded
WKU's implied chance on Novig (WKU) moved up from 90% to 95% in 15 minutes on $4,964 of trading.
13 minutes ago
LIBStrong
Novig book imbalance on LIB. $83,016 resting behind LIB vs $1 on the other side (166032.4x)
The Novig order book on LIB is stacked toward LIB, with 166032.4x more resting money backing that side.
14 minutes ago
WKU -11.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on WKU -11.5. $5,102 resting behind MOST +11.5 vs $775 on the other side (6.6x)
The Novig order book on WKU -11.5 is stacked toward MOST +11.5, with 6.6x more resting money backing that side.
14 minutes ago
DAL -8.5Notable
Novig steam on DAL -8.5. TB +8.5 moved +6.5 points in 15 minutes on $3,546 traded
TB +8.5's implied chance on Novig (DAL -8.5) moved up from 56% to 62% in 15 minutes on $3,546 of trading.
14 minutes ago
UTSAStrong
Novig steam on UTSA. UTSA moved +20.2 points in 15 minutes on $13,408 traded
UTSA's implied chance on Novig (UTSA) moved up from 41% to 62% in 15 minutes on $13,408 of trading.
14 minutes ago
ARSTStrong
Novig steam on ARST. USA moved +15.5 points in 15 minutes on $8,654 traded
USA's implied chance on Novig (ARST) moved up from 62% to 77% in 15 minutes on $8,654 of trading.
14 minutes ago
DALNotable
Novig steam on DAL. DAL moved +5.0 points in 15 minutes on $44,809 traded
DAL's implied chance on Novig (DAL) moved up from 74% to 79% in 15 minutes on $44,809 of trading.
14 minutes ago
CWSModerate
Novig book imbalance on CWS. $22,649 resting behind CLE vs $5,741 on the other side (3.9x)
The Novig order book on CWS is stacked toward CLE, with 3.9x more resting money backing that side.
15 minutes ago
CWSModerate
Novig sweep on CWS. $4,932 backed CWS across 6 price levels (64% to 37%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed CWS on Novig (CWS). A buyer took $4,932 of contracts fast rather than waiting, while CWS' price slipped from 64% to 37%.
16 minutes ago
CWSModerate
Novig sweep on CWS. $10,587 backed CLE across 2 price levels (36% to 36%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed CLE on Novig (CWS). A buyer took $10,587 of contracts fast rather than waiting, pushing CLE's implied chance up from 36% to 36%.
17 minutes ago
STLModerate
Novig book imbalance on STL. $6,154 resting behind STL vs $459 on the other side (13.4x)
The Novig order book on STL is stacked toward STL, with 13.4x more resting money backing that side.
18 minutes ago
ARSTModerate
Novig steam on ARST. USA moved +13.0 points in 15 minutes on $11,421 traded
USA's implied chance on Novig (ARST) moved up from 62% to 75% in 15 minutes on $11,421 of trading.
19 minutes ago
ARSTModerate
Novig book imbalance on ARST. $20,156 resting behind USA vs $4,623 on the other side (4.4x)
The Novig order book on ARST is stacked toward USA, with 4.4x more resting money backing that side.
19 minutes ago
TB @ DAL t47.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on TB @ DAL t47.5. $7,528 resting behind Under 47.5 vs $2,372 on the other side (3.2x)
The Novig order book on TB @ DAL t47.5 is stacked toward Under 47.5, with 3.2x more resting money backing that side.
20 minutes ago
ARSTNotable
Novig sweep on ARST. $4,056 backed USA across 3 price levels (69% to 70%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed USA on Novig (ARST). A buyer took $4,056 of contracts fast rather than waiting, pushing USA's implied chance up from 69% to 70%.
20 minutes ago
CWSStrong
Novig steam on CWS. CLE moved +11.0 points in 15 minutes on $60,840 traded
CLE's implied chance on Novig (CWS) moved up from 20% to 31% in 15 minutes on $60,840 of trading.
20 minutes ago
ARST -1.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on ARST -1.5. $7,380 resting behind USA +1.5 vs $2,187 on the other side (3.4x)
The Novig order book on ARST -1.5 is stacked toward USA +1.5, with 3.4x more resting money backing that side.
22 minutes ago
CWSStrong
Novig sweep on CWS. $41,312 backed CWS across 8 price levels (76% to 67%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed CWS on Novig (CWS). A buyer took $41,312 of contracts fast rather than waiting, while CWS' price slipped from 76% to 67%.
22 minutes ago
DAL -8.5Moderate
Novig steam on DAL -8.5. DAL -8.5 moved +12.0 points in 15 minutes on $2,767 traded
DAL -8.5's implied chance on Novig (DAL -8.5) moved up from 26% to 38% in 15 minutes on $2,767 of trading.
22 minutes ago
CWSNotable
Novig sweep on CWS. $2,549 backed CLE across 2 price levels (23% to 23%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed CLE on Novig (CWS). A buyer took $2,549 of contracts fast rather than waiting, pushing CLE's implied chance up from 23% to 23%.
22 minutes ago
STLNotable
Novig steam on STL. SJ moved +6.0 points in 15 minutes on $23,530 traded
SJ's implied chance on Novig (STL) moved up from 42% to 48% in 15 minutes on $23,530 of trading.
23 minutes ago
STLNotable
Novig book imbalance on STL. $4,776 resting behind SJ vs $1,098 on the other side (4.3x)
The Novig order book on STL is stacked toward SJ, with 4.3x more resting money backing that side.
23 minutes ago
MTLModerate
Novig steam on MTL. NSH moved +8.5 points in 15 minutes on $8,353 traded
NSH's implied chance on Novig (MTL) moved up from 44% to 52% in 15 minutes on $8,353 of trading.
24 minutes ago
MTLNotable
Novig book imbalance on MTL. $5,113 resting behind NSH vs $579 on the other side (8.8x)
The Novig order book on MTL is stacked toward NSH, with 8.8x more resting money backing that side.
24 minutes ago
UTSAModerate
Novig steam on UTSA. UTSA moved +14.0 points in 15 minutes on $1,677 traded
UTSA's implied chance on Novig (UTSA) moved up from 41% to 55% in 15 minutes on $1,677 of trading.
24 minutes ago
DALNotable
Novig sweep on DAL. $8,257 backed DAL across 2 price levels (76% to 78%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed DAL on Novig (DAL). A buyer took $8,257 of contracts fast rather than waiting, pushing DAL's implied chance up from 76% to 78%.
25 minutes ago
DALNotable
Novig steam on DAL. DAL moved +4.0 points in 15 minutes on $55,069 traded
DAL's implied chance on Novig (DAL) moved up from 76% to 80% in 15 minutes on $55,069 of trading.
26 minutes ago
DALModerate
Novig book imbalance on DAL. $64,176 resting behind DAL vs $20,738 on the other side (3.1x)
The Novig order book on DAL is stacked toward DAL, with 3.1x more resting money backing that side.
26 minutes ago
DALNotable
Novig sweep on DAL. $8,303 backed DAL across 3 price levels (77% to 79%) in under 10s
Large, urgent money backed DAL on Novig (DAL). A buyer took $8,303 of contracts fast rather than waiting, pushing DAL's implied chance up from 77% to 79%.
27 minutes ago
DAL -9.5Notable
Novig steam on DAL -9.5. DAL -9.5 moved +7.3 points in 15 minutes on $3,654 traded
DAL -9.5's implied chance on Novig (DAL -9.5) moved up from 32% to 39% in 15 minutes on $3,654 of trading.
27 minutes ago
MTLNotable
Novig book imbalance on MTL. $7,703 resting behind MTL vs $1,703 on the other side (4.5x)
The Novig order book on MTL is stacked toward MTL, with 4.5x more resting money backing that side.
27 minutes ago
DALModerate
Novig book imbalance on DAL. $9,986 resting behind TB vs $1,207 on the other side (8.3x)
The Novig order book on DAL is stacked toward TB, with 8.3x more resting money backing that side.
27 minutes ago
WKU -3.5Notable
Novig book imbalance on WKU -3.5. $7,728 resting behind WKU -3.5 vs $1,730 on the other side (4.5x)
The Novig order book on WKU -3.5 is stacked toward WKU -3.5, with 4.5x more resting money backing that side.
28 minutes ago
WKU -2.5Moderate
Novig book imbalance on WKU -2.5. $12,633 resting behind WKU -2.5 vs $1,623 on the other side (7.8x)
The Novig order book on WKU -2.5 is stacked toward WKU -2.5, with 7.8x more resting money backing that side.
28 minutes ago
The same game winner, priced differently on the two exchanges. A pair is only listed when both teams match and exactly one Kalshi market fits, so the list is short on purpose.
No confidently matched games are priced apart right now.
From Novig's own anonymized daily exchange report. $38M of contract volume across 42,668 markets that day.