Wallet #21757
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
Win rate
100%
Resolved markets
1
Realized PnL
$4,145
Total volume
$800,802
Summary
Wallet #21757 has settled 1 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 100% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $4,145. Its most recent tracked trade was buy No at 68c for $17, 7 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
Live positions
What this wallet is holding right now, biggest first: the side it is on, the average price it paid, and where the market trades now. Compare the entry to the current price to see how much of the move is left. These are positions, not betting advice.
| Market | Holding | Avg entry | Market now | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 89c | 59c | $30,260 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 88c | 36c | $7,821 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 58c | 28c | $4,693 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 87c | 81c | $2,050 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 71c | 46c | $1,703 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 46c | 7c | $1,428 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 87c | 1c | $226 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 96c | 83c | $96 |
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 68c | $17 | 7 hours ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Buy | No | 70c | $1,055 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Buy | No | 99c | $42 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Buy | Yes | 69c | $690 | 1 day ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Buy | No | 70c | $1,471 | 1 day ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Buy | Yes | 96c | $193 | 2 days ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Buy | Yes | 17c | $30 | 4 days ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Buy | Yes | 72c | $399 | 4 days ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | Buy | Yes | 92c | $4,114 | 6 days ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Buy | Yes | 87c | $2,050 | 6 days ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Buy | No | 98c | $39 | 7 days ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Buy | No | 95c | $410 | 7 days ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Buy | No | 97c | $102 | 7 days ago |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Buy | No | 87c | $125 | 7 days ago |
| Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Buy | No | 90c | $203 | 7 days ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 99c | $39 | 8 days ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 96c | $1,077 | 8 days ago |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 97c | $814 | 8 days ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Buy | No | 92c | $9 | 8 days ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 85c | $187 | 8 days ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Buy | Yes | 58c | $4,693 | 10 days ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Buy | No | 41c | $15 | 10 days ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Buy | No | 75c | $232 | 12 days ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Buy | No | 96c | $30 | 13 days ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Buy | No | 89c | $30,260 | 14 days ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Buy | Yes | 88c | $7,821 | 14 days ago |
| Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 19c | $5 | 14 days ago |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Buy | Yes | 96c | $96 | 15 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Buy | No | 5c | $3 | 15 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Buy | No | 4c | $2 | 16 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Buy | Yes | 97c | $1,835 | 16 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Buy | No | 3c | $7 | 16 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Buy | No | 2c | $3 | 16 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Buy | Yes | 94c | $8,094 | 16 days ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Buy | No | 94c | $28 | 20 days ago |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 93c | $766 | 20 days ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Buy | Yes | 46c | $1,428 | 21 days ago |
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