Wallet #52576

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461

Win rate

67%

Resolved markets

3

Realized PnL

$17

Total volume

$2,595,290

Summary

Wallet #52576 has settled 3 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 67% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $17. Its most recent tracked trade was buy No at 94c for $926, 3 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.

Live positions

What this wallet is holding right now, biggest first: the side it is on, the average price it paid, and where the market trades now. Compare the entry to the current price to see how much of the move is left. These are positions, not betting advice.

MarketHoldingAvg entryMarket nowPosition
Iran leadership change by December 31?No82c22c$31,371
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes13c11c$8,451
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 31?Yes97c91c$8,333
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?No71c29c$7,381
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes63c28c$6,025
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes71c19c$5,346
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes70c78c$4,842
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No82c28c$3,679
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No67c31c$3,655
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No61c16c$3,464
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No99c4c$3,061
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes49c13c$2,966
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes49c33c$2,750
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No38c64c$2,685
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No90c59c$2,612
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No57c28c$2,546
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No50c32c$2,175
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?No99c11c$1,264
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No22c44c$1,197
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes17c27c$1,074
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes29c31c$979
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes50c23c$894
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No39c72c$893
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No95c5c$859
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes74c66c$584
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes15c35c$354
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Yes47c33c$176
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No8c21c$75

How this is measured

Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.

Recent trades

MarketSideOutcomePriceNotionalWhen
Iran leadership change by September 30?BuyNo94c$9263 hours ago
Iran leadership change by December 31?BuyNo82c$14,8683 hours ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BuyNo19c$6,0299 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SellNo66c$4616 hours ago
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BuyNo69c$8317 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes53c$19317 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BuyYes55c$9818 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes15c$13118 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes51c$5620 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BuyYes41c$7820 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?SellNo81c$2,24320 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes16c$520 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes53c$33421 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes52c$3021 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes14c$2521 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes52c$11921 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes51c$1421 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes51c$47021 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes50c$34121 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo61c$1,44521 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo61c$3421 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo66c$1,28821 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes52c$26121 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes17c$89021 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes51c$32621 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes13c$2221 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo57c$21121 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo52c$33621 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes45c$26621 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes46c$23721 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo54c$14921 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes44c$29621 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo98c$16821 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes60c$7321 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes51c$3021 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo96c$35421 hours ago
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes16c$16322 hours ago
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes6c$122 hours ago
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes15c$2422 hours ago
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyYes53c$8022 hours ago
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SellYes68c$8051 day ago
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BuyYes64c$6,2371 day ago
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?BuyNo88c$2401 day ago
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BuyNo94c$1,6531 day ago
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SellNo78c$2,3611 day ago
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SellNo78c$5,6161 day ago
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?BuyYes99c$841 day ago
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 18?BuyYes96c$961 day ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SellNo66c$6,4871 day ago
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BuyNo71c$7,3811 day ago

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