Wallet #86687
0x57f58473f8b0c0ea6f025cae8c31bea5e78cc1c9
Win rate
11%
Resolved markets
27
Realized PnL
$5
Total volume
$5,745
Summary
Wallet #86687 has settled 27 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 11% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $5. Its most recent tracked trade was buy No at 11c for $2, 7 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | Buy | No | 11c | $2 | 7 hours ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 4 days ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat? | Buy | No | 8c | $2 | 4 days ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 4 days ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 7c | $2 | 4 days ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 5 days ago |
| Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 5 days ago |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | Buy | U 86.5 | 10c | $2 | 5 days ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? | Buy | No | 6c | $1 | 5 days ago |
| Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | Buy | No | 5c | $1 | 5 days ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Buy | No | 11c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 15c | $0 | 6 days ago |
| Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL MVP award? | Buy | No | 4c | $0 | 6 days ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat? | Buy | No | 9c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | Buy | No | 11c | $2 | 7 days ago |
| Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 7 days ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1200 by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 7 days ago |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 8 days ago |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 8 days ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 9 days ago |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 9 days ago |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 9 days ago |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 11c | $2 | 9 days ago |
| Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 10c | $2 | 10 days ago |
| Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 10 days ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Buy | No | 7c | $2 | 10 days ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Buy | No | 9c | $2 | 10 days ago |
| Will Donald Trump visit Illinois in 2026? | Buy | No | 11c | $2 | 11 days ago |
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 12 days ago |
| Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 12 days ago |
| Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 12 days ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 12 days ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | Buy | No | 10c | $1 | 12 days ago |
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 4c | $2 | 12 days ago |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 13 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by October 31? | Buy | No | 6c | $2 | 13 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by October 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 5c | $2 | 13 days ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 13 days ago |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31? | Buy | No | 12c | $2 | 13 days ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat? | Buy | No | 13c | $2 | 14 days ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | Buy | No | 11c | $2 | 14 days ago |
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31? | Sell | No | 92c | $5 | 14 days ago |
Trade on a supported venue
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