Wallet #19717
0x0bfb8009df6c46c1fdd79b65896cf224dc4526a7
Win rate
69%
Resolved markets
16
Realized PnL
$-324
Total volume
$395,204
Summary
Wallet #19717 has settled 16 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 69% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized loss of $324. Its most recent tracked trade was buy No at 1c for $0, 6 days ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, with a minimum of 30 settled positions before a wallet is rankable. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? | Buy | No | 1c | $0 | 6 days ago |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | Buy | No | 78c | $35 | 7 days ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Buy | Yes | 57c | $114 | 7 days ago |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | Buy | Yes | 99c | $187 | 7 days ago |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | Buy | Yes | 98c | $125 | 7 days ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? | Sell | No | 18c | $14 | 7 days ago |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | Yes | 99c | $49 | 7 days ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? | Buy | No | 84c | $84 | 8 days ago |
| Will "Moana" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | No | 95c | $188 | 8 days ago |
| Will "Moana" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | No | 64c | $122 | 9 days ago |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | No | 99c | $198 | 9 days ago |
| Will "Evil Dead Burn" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | Yes | 97c | $145 | 9 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $7 | 11 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 1c | $21 | 12 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $2 | 15 days ago |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | Yes | 99c | $45 | 16 days ago |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | Yes | 99c | $45 | 17 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 34c | $135 | 17 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 62c | $166 | 17 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $1 | 19 days ago |
| Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 20 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $2 | 20 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026? | Sell | No | 32c | $32 | 21 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 59c | $176 | 21 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Sell | No | 60c | $188 | 21 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Sell | No | 62c | $192 | 21 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 88c | $876 | 21 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 83c | $52 | 21 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 65c | $148 | 21 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 58c | $231 | 22 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 72c | $439 | 22 days ago |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | Sell | No | 12c | $24 | 22 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | Buy | No | 70c | $54 | 22 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Buy | No | 86c | $344 | 22 days ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Buy | No | 10c | $190 | 22 days ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Buy | No | 8c | $79 | 22 days ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Buy | No | 8c | $79 | 22 days ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Buy | No | 10c | $19 | 22 days ago |
| Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | Buy | No | 9c | $45 | 22 days ago |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | Sell | Yes | 91c | $89 | 23 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Buy | No | 87c | $174 | 23 days ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | Buy | No | 87c | $174 | 23 days ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26? | Buy | No | 97c | $6 | 23 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Buy | No | 87c | $348 | 23 days ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? | Buy | Yes | 89c | $178 | 23 days ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $1 | 23 days ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $1 | 24 days ago |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $3 | 24 days ago |
| Will "Supergirl" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Buy | No | 98c | $283 | 24 days ago |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? | Sell | Yes | 22c | $17 | 24 days ago |
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