Wallet #15685
0x03bc97aea53fe9eb8e1c49435f299756033d530c
Win rate
36%
Resolved markets
11
Realized PnL
$-25
Total volume
$71,680
Summary
Wallet #15685 has settled 11 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 36% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized loss of $25. Its most recent tracked trade was buy Up at 20c for $1, 8 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, with a minimum of 30 settled positions before a wallet is rankable. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Buy | Up | 20c | $1 | 8 hours ago |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 91c | $11 | 8 hours ago |
| Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | Buy | Yes | 27c | $10 | 19 hours ago |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | Sell | England | 91c | $38 | 19 hours ago |
| Michael Olise: 1+ goals | Buy | Yes | 21c | $10 | 20 hours ago |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France vs. England: Team to Win | Buy | Yes | 12c | $10 | 22 hours ago |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Buy | Yes | 38c | $10 | 23 hours ago |
| NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $1 | 23 hours ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? | Sell | No | 10c | $10 | 1 day ago |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | Buy | Yes | 85c | $10 | 1 day ago |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | Buy | Boston Red Sox | 83c | $2 | 1 day ago |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees | Buy | New York Yankees | 72c | $3 | 1 day ago |
| Bunschoten: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Houkes | Buy | Tom Gentzsch | 53c | $2 | 1 day ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Sell | No | 93c | $47 | 2 days ago |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | Buy | England | 36c | $5 | 2 days ago |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | Buy | England | 36c | $10 | 3 days ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Buy | No | 93c | $400 | 3 days ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Sell | Yes | 84c | $252 | 3 days ago |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Buy | Yes | 58c | $5 | 3 days ago |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | Sell | No | 31c | $9 | 3 days ago |
| Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 31c | $7 | 4 days ago |
| Will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 31c | $6 | 4 days ago |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Buy | Yes | 38c | $13 | 4 days ago |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Sell | Argentina | 46c | $26 | 4 days ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 20c | $40 | 4 days ago |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | Buy | Spain | 42c | $5 | 5 days ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? | Sell | No | 94c | $47 | 5 days ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? | Sell | No | 94c | $47 | 5 days ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026? | Sell | No | 87c | $44 | 5 days ago |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | Buy | Argentina | 45c | $25 | 5 days ago |
| Granby: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhang | Buy | Justin Boulais | 38c | $2 | 5 days ago |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | Buy | Yes | 19c | $24 | 5 days ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14? | Sell | Down | 31c | $6 | 5 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | Sell | No | 89c | $18 | 5 days ago |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 18c | $24 | 5 days ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Sell | No | 92c | $198 | 5 days ago |
| Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom | Buy | Rio Noguchi | 52c | $1 | 5 days ago |
| Dani Olmo: 1+ goals | Buy | Yes | 15c | $10 | 5 days ago |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Buy | Yes | 21c | $50 | 5 days ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Sell | Yes | 85c | $170 | 5 days ago |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Buy | Yes | 20c | $13 | 6 days ago |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | Buy | Jannik Sinner | 82c | $11 | 7 days ago |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | Buy | Spain | 41c | $50 | 7 days ago |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Buy | Yes | 6c | $25 | 7 days ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Buy | No | 93c | $200 | 8 days ago |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Buy | Yes | 46c | $10 | 8 days ago |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | Buy | Norway | 35c | $10 | 8 days ago |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | Buy | Spain | 74c | $10 | 9 days ago |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Buy | Yes | 17c | $100 | 9 days ago |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | Buy | Spain | 74c | $300 | 10 days ago |
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