Wallet #59149
0x0275ac8f6793cc3ffe90dc1095330e240622b936
Win rate
78%
Resolved markets
18
Realized PnL
$2
Total volume
$3,940
Summary
Wallet #59149 has settled 18 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 78% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $2. Its most recent tracked trade was sell Yes at 31c for $2, 9 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, with a minimum of 30 settled positions before a wallet is rankable. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 31c | $2 | 9 hours ago |
| Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | Sell | Yes | 8c | $1 | 10 hours ago |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | Sell | Yes | 27c | $4 | 14 hours ago |
| Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? | Sell | Yes | 20c | $1 | 14 hours ago |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22.5B? | Sell | No | 7c | $1 | 16 hours ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 13c | $1 | 19 hours ago |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 29c | $2 | 19 hours ago |
| Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | Sell | Yes | 0c | $0 | 20 hours ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Sell | No | 10c | $1 | 21 hours ago |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 3c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee? | Sell | No | 3c | $1 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Sell | Yes | 5c | $1 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee? | Sell | No | 9c | $2 | 1 day ago |
| Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 5c | $1 | 1 day ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Sell | Yes | 13c | $2 | 1 day ago |
| Will Louise Haigh be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | Sell | Yes | 5c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Sell | Yes | 30c | $4 | 1 day ago |
| Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | Sell | No | 1c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05? | Sell | Yes | 11c | $2 | 1 day ago |
| Will RTX (RTX) Q2 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $8B? | Sell | No | 7c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? | Sell | Yes | 2c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 1c | $0 | 1 day ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 11c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | Sell | No | 4c | $1 | 2 days ago |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 5c | $1 | 2 days ago |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | Sell | Yes | 9c | $1 | 2 days ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 24c | $1 | 2 days ago |
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | Sell | No | 6c | $2 | 2 days ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Sell | No | 14c | $1 | 2 days ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Sell | No | 28c | $7 | 2 days ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 2c | $0 | 2 days ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $90B by July 31? | Sell | No | 7c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 12c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 7c | $0 | 3 days ago |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? | Sell | Yes | 9c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Sell | No | 13c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 7c | $1 | 3 days ago |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Sell | Yes | 13c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | Sell | Yes | 16c | $3 | 3 days ago |
| Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | Sell | No | 8c | $3 | 3 days ago |
| Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 7c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Sell | Yes | 11c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 24c | $3 | 3 days ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | Sell | Yes | 6c | $1 | 3 days ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | Sell | No | 6c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Sell | No | 9c | $2 | 3 days ago |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Sell | Yes | 4c | $1 | 3 days ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | Sell | Yes | 9c | $2 | 4 days ago |
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