Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket
42c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 42 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, two trades of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $80,470 buy of No at 57c.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #58004 | Buy | No | 58c | $15,850 | 100% on 3 resolved | 2 hours ago |
| Wallet #67599 | Buy | No | 57c | $80,470 | not yet ranked | 2 hours ago |
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