Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Polymarket
64c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 64 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, one trade of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $13,803 buy of Yes at 93c.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #21960 | Buy | Yes | 93c | $13,803 | not yet ranked | 1 hour ago |
Trade this market
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
Coming soonRelated markets
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PM 19c
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PM 95c
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PM 57c
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PM 13c
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PM 5c
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PM 43c