Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Polymarket

57c

Yes price

Kalshi

No live price

Yes price

Cross-venue gap

Not comparable yet

Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.

Summary

Polymarket currently prices Yes at 57 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, one trade of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $43,702 buy of Yes at 75c.

Whale activity on this market

WalletSideOutcomePriceNotionalWallet recordWhen
Wallet #82867BuyYes75c$43,702not yet ranked1 hour ago

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