Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket
11c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 11 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, two trades of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $66,082 buy of No at 90c.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet #60780 | Buy | No | 90c | $66,082 | not yet ranked | 7 hours ago |
| Wallet #60780 | Buy | No | 92c | $33,918 | not yet ranked | 7 hours ago |
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