Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Polymarket
54c
Yes price
Kalshi
No live price
Yes price
Cross-venue gap
Not comparable yet
Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.
Summary
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 54 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, one trade of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $19,200 buy of No at 46c.
Whale activity on this market
| Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | Wallet record | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1a3f...6dea | Buy | No | 46c | $19,200 | not yet ranked | 1 hour ago |
Trade this market
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