Wallet #14093
0xcb84e2d4354beebe199ab57c5a51e0ee96914fbc
Win rate
100%
Resolved markets
2
Realized PnL
$2
Total volume
$722,381
Summary
Wallet #14093 has settled 2 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 100% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $2. Its most recent tracked trade was sell No at 87c for $477, 18 minutes ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
Live positions
What this wallet is holding right now, biggest first: the side it is on, the average price it paid, and where the market trades now. Compare the entry to the current price to see how much of the move is left. These are positions, not betting advice.
| Market | Holding | Avg entry | Market now | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 69c | 36c | $24,299 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | Yes | 94c | 16c | $940 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 67c | 56c | $791 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | No | 84c | 25c | $672 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Yes | 89c | 42c | $549 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 98c | 7c | $453 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | 87c | 69c | $410 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 84c | 81c | $336 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | No | 65c | 44c | $195 |
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, above a minimum number of settled positions, so a thin record cannot rank. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Sell | No | 87c | $477 | 18 minutes ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Buy | No | 69c | $746 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Buy | No | 69c | $13,203 | 1 day ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Buy | No | 69c | $10,350 | 1 day ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Sell | Yes | 82c | $466 | 1 day ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Buy | Yes | 35c | $700 | 8 days ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Buy | Yes | 67c | $284 | 10 days ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Buy | Yes | 84c | $336 | 12 days ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Buy | Yes | 56c | $280 | 12 days ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Buy | Yes | 87c | $190 | 12 days ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Buy | Yes | 87c | $220 | 12 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 46c | $138 | 15 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 46c | $92 | 15 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 49c | $245 | 16 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 65c | $195 | 16 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 47c | $7 | 16 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 47c | $32 | 16 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 47c | $705 | 16 days ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Buy | Yes | 89c | $53 | 16 days ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 49c | $245 | 16 days ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Buy | Yes | 67c | $87 | 16 days ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Buy | Yes | 67c | $34 | 16 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Buy | No | 84c | $336 | 16 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Buy | No | 84c | $336 | 16 days ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Buy | Yes | 89c | $380 | 16 days ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | Sell | Yes | 97c | $457 | 16 days ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Buy | Yes | 89c | $116 | 16 days ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | Sell | Yes | 97c | $97 | 16 days ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | Buy | Yes | 94c | $940 | 16 days ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 99c | $453 | 16 days ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Buy | Yes | 67c | $670 | 16 days ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | Sell | No | 80c | $64 | 16 days ago |
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