Wallet #20420
0x0b2fe94f03e095a8fb8d8ffddada9ed842c4fe3f
Win rate
50%
Resolved markets
12
Realized PnL
$-3
Total volume
$8,393
Summary
Wallet #20420 has settled 12 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 50% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized loss of $3. Its most recent tracked trade was sell No at 8c for $24, 3 days ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, with a minimum of 30 settled positions before a wallet is rankable. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 8c | $24 | 3 days ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Sell | Yes | 12c | $5 | 3 days ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Buy | Yes | 13c | $5 | 3 days ago |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Sell | No | 52c | $7 | 3 days ago |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Buy | No | 35c | $5 | 3 days ago |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | Sell | Yes | 35c | $4 | 3 days ago |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | Buy | Yes | 38c | $5 | 3 days ago |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | Sell | Yes | 35c | $10 | 4 days ago |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | Buy | Yes | 49c | $5 | 5 days ago |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | Buy | Yes | 51c | $5 | 5 days ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Buy | No | 66c | $5 | 5 days ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Sell | Yes | 12c | $14 | 5 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 6c | $5 | 5 days ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Buy | Yes | 13c | $5 | 5 days ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 15? | Buy | Up | 93c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha | Buy | TYLOO | 95c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Buy | Yes | 13c | $5 | 6 days ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Buy | Yes | 13c | $5 | 6 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 6c | $4 | 6 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 6c | $4 | 6 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 6c | $5 | 6 days ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Sell | Yes | 18c | $20 | 7 days ago |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13? | Buy | Down | 93c | $2 | 8 days ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13? | Buy | Down | 93c | $2 | 8 days ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Buy | Yes | 18c | $5 | 8 days ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Buy | Yes | 18c | $5 | 8 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 94c | $2 | 8 days ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Buy | Yes | 18c | $5 | 8 days ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Buy | Yes | 18c | $5 | 8 days ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | Sell | Yes | 77c | $5 | 8 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | Sell | No | 53c | $6 | 8 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | Buy | No | 39c | $4 | 9 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | Sell | Yes | 81c | $7 | 9 days ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | Buy | Yes | 60c | $5 | 9 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | Sell | Yes | 6c | $5 | 10 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | Buy | Yes | 6c | $5 | 10 days ago |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | Buy | Yes | 80c | $5 | 10 days ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | Sell | Yes | 23c | $5 | 10 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | Sell | No | 9c | $5 | 10 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | Buy | No | 9c | $5 | 10 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | Sell | No | 10c | $4 | 12 days ago |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | Sell | Yes | 8c | $4 | 12 days ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Sell | No | 71c | $25 | 12 days ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 68c | $5 | 12 days ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 69c | $5 | 12 days ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 69c | $5 | 12 days ago |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | Sell | No | 77c | $5 | 12 days ago |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | Buy | No | 78c | $5 | 12 days ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | Buy | No | 11c | $5 | 13 days ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Buy | No | 69c | $5 | 13 days ago |
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