Wallet #40510
0x0619dafd91786867631d0546917aa35c244ed801
Win rate
36%
Resolved markets
11
Realized PnL
$-905
Total volume
$159,495
Summary
Wallet #40510 has settled 11 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 36% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized loss of $905. Its most recent tracked trade was sell Dplus KIA at 87c for $609, 3 hours ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, with a minimum of 30 settled positions before a wallet is rankable. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Sell | Dplus KIA | 87c | $609 | 3 hours ago |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Buy | Dplus KIA | 60c | $300 | 4 hours ago |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner | Buy | Dplus KIA | 63c | $126 | 4 hours ago |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | Buy | T1 | 18c | $18 | 5 hours ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 53c | $225 | 15 hours ago |
| France vs. England: O/U 6.5 | Buy | Under | 11c | $13 | 19 hours ago |
| France vs. England: O/U 4.5 | Buy | Under | 9c | $45 | 19 hours ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 50c | $152 | 19 hours ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 13c | $1 | 1 day ago |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | Sell | T1 | 90c | $180 | 2 days ago |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | Buy | T1 | 33c | $66 | 2 days ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | Buy | No | 62c | $970 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 42c | $70 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 52c | $396 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 50c | $273 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 62c | $37 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 62c | $165 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 62c | $227 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 61c | $164 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 60c | $36 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 10c | $19 | 4 days ago |
| Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Rush (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D | Buy | Rush | 2c | $5 | 4 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 10c | $29 | 4 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Sell | Yes | 80c | $251 | 5 days ago |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | Buy | No | 10c | $15 | 5 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 37c | $96 | 5 days ago |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Sell | No | 20c | $45 | 6 days ago |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Buy | No | 6c | $14 | 6 days ago |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | Buy | No | 33c | $2 | 6 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 72c | $184 | 6 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 70c | $265 | 6 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 30c | $299 | 6 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 4c | $42 | 6 days ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12? | Buy | No | 9c | $15 | 6 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 3c | $16 | 6 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 3c | $19 | 6 days ago |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | Buy | Bilibili Gaming | 62c | $93 | 7 days ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11? | Buy | No | 72c | $195 | 7 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 24c | $78 | 7 days ago |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 | Buy | Under | 10c | $10 | 7 days ago |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | Buy | Yes | 16c | $16 | 7 days ago |
| Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Buy | Under | 32c | $32 | 7 days ago |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | Buy | Yes | 23c | $23 | 7 days ago |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | Sell | JD Gaming | 54c | $54 | 7 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | Buy | Yes | 45c | $335 | 8 days ago |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D | Buy | JD Gaming | 55c | $55 | 8 days ago |
| LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | Buy | GAM Esports | 6c | $3 | 8 days ago |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C | Buy | Movistar KOI | 13c | $5 | 8 days ago |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B | Buy | Karmine Corp | 14c | $14 | 8 days ago |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Sell | Yes | 32c | $64 | 8 days ago |
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