Wallet #86819
0x04045703a1b01f44ab8dfe125c51830082bf4719
Win rate
92%
Resolved markets
12
Realized PnL
$2
Total volume
$66,352
Summary
Wallet #86819 has settled 12 resolved markets on Polymarket with a 92% win rate. Across that history it shows a realized gain of $2. Its most recent tracked trade was buy Yes at 95c for $1, 1 day ago. A single person can control several wallets, so this record reflects one wallet, not one individual.
How this is measured
Wallets are ranked on resolved markets only, with a minimum of 30 settled positions before a wallet is rankable. A statistical confidence adjustment is applied so a small sample of wins does not outrank a large one. A single person may control multiple wallets, so wallet performance is not proof of individual skill.
Recent trades
| Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Buy | Yes | 95c | $1 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 19? | Buy | No | 98c | $70 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 97c | $40 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 19? | Buy | No | 97c | $50 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19? | Buy | No | 98c | $60 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19? | Buy | No | 89c | $20 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 19? | Buy | No | 99c | $30 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 19? | Buy | No | 97c | $40 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 80c | $5 | 1 day ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on July 18? | Buy | No | 100c | $50 | 1 day ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on July 18? | Buy | No | 98c | $30 | 1 day ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 18? | Buy | No | 100c | $50 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | Buy | No | 100c | $40 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | Buy | No | 94c | $10 | 1 day ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Buy | No | 97c | $5 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18? | Sell | No | 100c | $30 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 18? | Sell | No | 100c | $41 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18? | Sell | No | 100c | $32 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 18? | Sell | No | 100c | $50 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18? | Sell | No | 100c | $11 | 1 day ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | Sell | No | 100c | $16 | 1 day ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 91c | $27 | 2 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 97c | $40 | 2 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 87c | $10 | 2 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 98c | $20 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | Buy | No | 98c | $30 | 2 days ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.20 on July 17? | Buy | No | 100c | $60 | 2 days ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.15 on July 17? | Buy | No | 99c | $30 | 2 days ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on July 17? | Buy | No | 100c | $60 | 2 days ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 17? | Buy | No | 99c | $50 | 2 days ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 17? | Buy | No | 100c | $60 | 2 days ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 17? | Buy | No | 99c | $40 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Sell | No | 100c | $11 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Sell | No | 100c | $20 | 2 days ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17? | Sell | No | 100c | $40 | 2 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 17? | Sell | No | 100c | $30 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Sell | No | 100c | $40 | 2 days ago |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 17? | Sell | No | 100c | $41 | 2 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | Buy | No | 99c | $16 | 3 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 17? | Buy | No | 99c | $30 | 3 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 17? | Buy | No | 99c | $40 | 3 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 17? | Buy | No | 95c | $20 | 3 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 99c | $50 | 3 days ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18? | Buy | No | 95c | $30 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | No | 94c | $10 | 3 days ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | Buy | No | 99c | $40 | 3 days ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026? | Buy | No | 99c | $20 | 3 days ago |
| Will XRP dip to $1.05 on July 16? | Buy | No | 99c | $30 | 3 days ago |
| Will XRP reach $1.15 on July 16? | Buy | No | 97c | $40 | 3 days ago |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 17? | Buy | No | 98c | $20 | 3 days ago |
Trade on a supported venue
A trading partner is not connected yet. This is where you will be able to open this market on a supported venue.
Coming soon