Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Polymarket

20c

Yes price

Kalshi

No live price

Yes price

Cross-venue gap

Not comparable yet

Both venues need a live Yes price to compare.

Summary

Polymarket currently prices Yes at 20 cents. No linked Kalshi market is tracked for this question yet. Over the past 24 hours, two trades of $10,000 or more crossed on Polymarket, with the largest a $20,235 buy of Spain at 21c.

Whale activity on this market

WalletSideOutcomePriceNotionalWallet recordWhen
Wallet #69627BuyArgentina79c$13,175100% on 4 resolved6 hours ago
Wallet #60115BuySpain21c$20,235not yet ranked6 hours ago

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